Early Season Winter Weather Event?


NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
651 PM EST SUN NOV 27 2011

..EARLY SEASON WINTRY PRECIP POSSIBLE EARLY TUESDAY...

PHASE 2...WINTRY WX POTENTIAL...
TO BE CLEAR...AT THIS POINT...THE FLOODING POTENTIAL IS BY FAR THE
MORE SIGNIFICANT IMPACT EXPECTED THIS WEEK BUT NEED TO MONITOR
CLOSELY WINTRY SCENARIO LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING.
GFS AND ECMWF IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN BRINGING A SIGNIFICANT
SHORTWAVE SPOKE FROM TENNESSEE VALLEY UPPER LOW THROUGH THE AREA
EARLY TUESDAY. GIVEN COLD CORE NATURE OF THIS SYSTEM...INSTABILITY
DRIVEN SHRA ARE LOOKING MORE PROBABLE AND THE QUESTION TURNS TO IN
WHAT FORM. PARTIAL THICKNESSES AND SOUNDINGS ALL POINT TO -SNSH
FOR MOST OF NORTH GA THROUGH 15Z TUE. THE PROBLEM IS THE SURFACE
WET BULBS WHICH LOOK TO STRUGGLE TO GET COLD ENOUGH TO SUPPORT
SNOW ALL THE WAY TO THE SURFACE. FEEL MOUNTAINS AND NORTHERN TIER
WILL HAVE THE BEST CHANCES BUT AREAS WITH BURSTS IN INTENSITY WILL
HAVE GREATER CHANCES FOR FROZEN PRECIP AS WELL. HAVE OPTED TO
INDICATE -SNSH FOR THE NORTHERN TIER...MOSTLY THE MOUNTAINS...AND
A MIX FURTHER SOUTH. REGARDLESS...WARM GROUND TEMPS WILL MAKE IT
DIFFICULT FOR ANYTHING TO STICK. MAIN AREA FOR CONCERN WOULD BE NE
MOUNTAINS AND WILL NEED TO MONITOR CLOSELY WITH SUBSEQUENT
FORECASTS.

Let the fun begin!!!

Severe Storms Today

Severe storms are expected this afternoon across north and central Georgia...

20110228-0850-svr_ga

The Map to Hell

Here is some bad news for those that hate a long, hot, dry summer:

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20110218-season_drought

If this persists through the spring, then summer is going to be very unpleasant in Atlanta. No soil moisture ups the chances for extended periods of upper 90’s to over 100 with little to no relief from summer storms. The only fix becomes hoping that a tropical system brings rain. I’m afraid we are in from a brutal summer in the SE.... and I’m none to happy about that!

Minor Snow Event for Atlanta

Not really expecting too much for this event, but winter storms in the south can always surprise us... I think this map from the Atlanta office of the NWS from this morning is pretty dead on for this event...

20110209-0830-atl_snow

I know I’d be a lot more excited about this event in years past. I hope it stays that way for the next couple of years with big events sprinkled with a few minor events!

Wintry Slop Overnight?

Winter continues with a chance of wintry slop for Atlanta tonight and Friday morning. This will likely be mostly rain with some snow mixing in sometime after midnight. At the moment, no accumulations are expected (and will change back to just rain for Friday afternoon). But wouldn’t it be nice to have a 3-day weekend?

Massive Winter Storm For the Midwest

That’s a lot of winter weather!

us-20110201-1000

For the Atlanta area, we won’t see any wintery fun, but we might have a few isolated Thunderstorms later today and overnight. Then winter returns for Weds. with lots wind and temps back in the 40’s during the day and a return to the 20’s overnight.

Twenty-Five Years Ago...

It was a cold and icy day in Atlanta on January 28, 1986. I was just a kid and remember being out of school for the winter weather. However, many other kids across the country sat in their class rooms waiting to see the launch of the first civilian/teacher into Earth orbit. You know the rest of the story.

STS-51-L

We best honor them by continuing to invest both money and talent into continued space exploration. As you read this on your i-Device, don’t forget to look up every now and then.

Hint of Spring

Saturday - Sunny with a high 62-64.

THAT is just about what I call perfect. This winter weather fan is very much looking forward to tomorrow!

Rain and Mabye Snow

A cold and rainy day for us here in Atlanta with highs in the low to mid 40’s. More rain over night with lows dropping to around 34-35. Tomorrow could see the rain ending as snow for much of the area, however temperatures will remain above freezing, so not expecting any travel problems.

Nice weekend ahead! Sunny and highs nearing 60 for Sunday maybe! Woo hoo!!!

Lookin Like Cold Rain

The next storm system sure has a lot of weather folks on edge. All sorts of different solutions being thrown around, but I’m going to go ahead and present my gut feeling on this. I think the most likely scenario is that Atlanta will see a mostly cold rain event Tuesday. Overnight Tuesday, could see some snow mix in, especially northern suburbs of Atlanta with no accumulations expected.

Sorry snow fans, but it looks like we don’t have a good shot with this storm. Of course there is still plenty of time for things to change!